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Fantasy Football: Week 4 Verfasst am: Beitrag 03:00 Mi - Okt 31, 2018

Start Womens Vita Vea Jersey , Sit and Sleepers If last week in the NFL and in fantasy football taught us anything, it’s that we know nothing.Let’s take a look at how the crazy Week 3 impacted our projections.QUARTERBACK (3/3): Arizona hadn’t looked very good coming into Week 3, but neither had Bears quarterback Mitch Trubisky. This continued as Chicago got the win, but Trubisky finished 26th among fantasy quarterbacks. Meanwhile, Matt Ryan and Kirk Cousins both delivered on their respective start and (anti)sleeper predictions. Granted, Cousins’ drop in points came for other reasons. RUNNING BACKS (3/3): Saquon Barkley bad good on my starting advice while Jordan Howard was able to bounce back into the Top-15. Lamar Miller was my sit and while he finished 20th (RB2 in 12-team leagues), sitting him was definitely the right choice for your DFS players.RECEIVERS (1/3): Once again my worst grouping of the week. Fitzgerald’s PPR machine didn't get going against Chicago. Austin Seferian-Jenkins made good on my sit advice after being a popular sleeper option in Week 3, and while I got my sleeper tight end team right it was Vance McDonald who racked up the points, not Jesse James.DEFENSE/SPECIAL TEAMS 2.5/3): Chicago finished with fantasy football’s third ranked defense in Week 3, making those who started them very happy. Pittsburgh was gifted a few turnovers and even forced one. But, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense didn’t quite turn-in starting points, so we’ll call that half a point for the sits. Our sleeper (Philadelphia Eagles) came in as DST9, so you were in the green if you play in anything bigger than an eight team league.OVERALL (79%): An increase in overall accuracy this week. But we want to get it higher. Let’s get to it.QUARTERBACKSPhoto by Harry How/Getty ImagesSTART: Philip Rivers, Los Angeles Chargers (vs San Francisco)Rivers has been strong and steady through three weeks putting up 68 total points while completing nearly 75% of his passes thus far.San Francisco is surrendering 23.43 points per game to quarterbacks so far, and Rivers should be able to come in somewhere around 25 points for you this weekend.SIT: Derek Carr, Oakland Raiders (vs Cleveland Browns)The Browns have a solid defense, and the Raiders have sputtered out of the gates in the second Gruden era of their franchise history.Oakland could get the win, but Carr’s two touchdown to five interception ratio up to this point doesn’t inspire any confidence in this match-up.SLEEPER: Eli Manning, New York Giants (vs New Orleans Saints)New Orleans still doesn’t have their secondary figured out and this is only going to help the younger Manning brother get it figured out, for one week.Manning has completed 80% of his aimed throws this year, tied for seventh on the season. He should be able to aim plenty against this Saints defense.RUNNING BACKSPhoto by Otto Greule Jr/Getty ImagesSTART: Ezekiel Elliott, Dallas Cowboys (vs Detroit Lions)Concerns about the Cowboys offense could be put on hold for one week. Especially if they ride the legs of the their star running back.The Lions are allowing more than 25-points per week in fantasy football leagues to running backs, and Elliott is still Top-10 despite his team’s struggles early on.SIT: Jordan Howard, Chicago Bears (vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers)Tampa’s defensive worries are in the back end more than the front.With one of the better linebacker duos in Kwon Alexander and Lavonte David, along with the defensive line stacked with Gerald McCoy, Jason Pierre-Paul and Vinny Curry, Howard figures to do little against this unit.SLEEPER: Tarik Cohen, Chicago Bears (vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers)If there is a Bears running back who could make a splash play or two and end up with some contributing points to your fantasy success this week www.tampabaybuccaneersteamonline.com , it’ll be Tarik Cohen.The second-year running back hasn’t touched the ball more than eight times in a single game this season. He had eight or fewer touches in 2017 eight times, and the Bears went 2-6 in those games.In their 2017 loss to the Buccaneers, Cohen had eight touches in the receiving game alone, and he turned those into 55-yards. His running totals were significantly lower, but his ability to impact the game on offense is clear.Chicago will need to get both backs involved to enjoy sustained success, and given Cohen’s performance as a receiver last season, he should get some opportunities here.RECEIVERS (WR/TE)Photo by David Eulitt/Getty ImagesSTART: Travis Kelce, Kansas City Chiefs (vs Denver Broncos)A no-brainer for year-long leagues. But is he worth the price tag in DFS? Yes.Currently the league’s top tight end in fantasy football production, Kelce has scored seven more points than the second-place guy (Tampa Bay’s O.J. Howard) despite having more than ten fewer targets than the league leader in that stat-line (Philadelphia’s Zach Ertz).Playing the Broncos this week, big players show up in big games, and this rivalry is one of those.Also, Denver is allowing the seventh-most fantasy points to tight ends among active teams this week.SIT: Dallas Cowboys Receivers (vs Detroit Lions)Lets see. Tavon Austin has the most fantasy points of any Cowboys receiver with 29 (WR50). Cole Beasley has the most targets (16), but has only converted those in 25 fantasy football points. Michael Gallup has the team’s largest average depth of target according to Pro Football Focus, and it’s only 13-yards. Until Dak Prescott and this pass offense get things figured out, it’s a hard pass on any receiver with a star on his helmet.SLEEPER: Austin Hooper, Atlanta Falcons (vs Cincinnati Bengals)We’re going for it here, folks. Hooper is far from a focal point of this offense, but is still 17th among fantasy football tight ends in targets with thirteen. Only eight tight ends have more than fifteen right now, so he isn’t far off from being a Top-10 targeted tight end.This week he draws a Cincinnati defense which gave up three catches to the Panthers’ Ian Thomas who had been targeted no more than six times coming into Week 3.Hooper may not be a star, but he’s better than Thomas. So is his quarterback. With the Bengals focused on the myriad of other weapons Atlanta possesses, this is a sneaky spot for Hooper to have a good week.DEFENSE/SPECIAL TEAMSPhoto by Scott Halleran/Getty ImagesSTART: Jacksonville Jaguars (vs New York Jets)The Jaguars have the eighth highest fantasy football points output in the NFL right now. Going up against this Jets offense should help them climb in or near the Top-5.SIT: Denver Broncos (vs Kansas City Chiefs)I don’t think the Chiefs offense will play the way they have every week, but I don’t think it’s going to stop this weekend.The Chiefs are allowing negative points per game on average for opposing fantasy defenses. Yeah. Stay away from that.SLEEPER: New York Jets (vs Jacksonville Jaguars)The Jets have a really solid defense. It’s the offense that’s the problem.Jacksonville knows the struggle all too well, and we may see a game where both defenses come in producing points which make every player happy.Preseason is about the process, not the results As Nat Moore said on the Dolphins broadcast last night, the preseason is the opportunity to work on some things you didn’t do so well at last year. So what did the Buccaneers need to work on? On Offense, it’s the running game and playcalling. On Defense, everything. Preseason games are basically glorified scrimmages so what we can take away from them isn’t too much, but we can glean a few things.OffenseOffensive coordinator Todd Monken called the plays last night Tampa Bay Buccaneers T-Shirt , and I thought he did a really good job. Better than Dirk Koetter in my opinion, if we’re being honest. He mixed in the run and the pass on first downs:On first downs in the first quarter with Ryan Fitzpatrick under center, Monken called five passes and three runs. Fitzpatrick finished 5/5 with 8.66 yards per attempt (ypa) on first downs and 6/8 for 6.9 ypa overall. Monken called two passes before calling running back Peyton Barber’s number on a first down and he ran well; his three carries yielded 5.66 yards per rush (ypr) as a good change-up.On first downs in the second quarter with Jameis Winston in, Monken called nine passes and two runs. Winston finished 6/8 with 8.5 ypa and one sack on his first down attempts, and 11/13 for 7.8 ypa overall. Ronald Jones III didn’t have a great night behind the Bucs’ patchwork second-team offensive line, and his two first-down rushes went for one yard (a goal-line rush, so to be fair we should factor that out), and a loss for one yard. Together, the offense on first downs finished 11/13 for 111 yards at 8.5 ypa and one sack and four rushes for 4 ypr. Juxtapose that with Koetter’s NFL-high rush rate of 66 percent on first downs early in games over the last two seasons, at a 3.3 yards per rush rate. It may have been the preseason, and maybe the Dolphins won’t end up being any good, but the process finally looks right; over the course of a season that’s a lot more yards, and opportunities to score. In large part because, perhaps counter-intuitively, passing on first down puts the offense in more manageable second downs much more often than running does. That in turn makes second down a standard down (as opposed to an obvious passing down where defenses have an advantage of likely knowing what’s coming) where the defense will again have to respect the threat of the run, which in turn also helps play action, and so on for third downs. Balance begets balance. On top of that, we actually got to see an RPO (run-pass option) in the red zone. Winston’s throw was a bit too high for WR Bobo Wilson, but to Mike Evans it would have very likely been at least a first and goal and maybe even a touchdown. I’m not sure but I believe this is a second level RPO; Winston is reading the linebacker. Winston holds it just long enough to get the linebacker to take a couple steps forward to help open up the passing lane, and then pulls it and throws it. I’d like to see his decision-making here be just a bit quicker and his throw placed better, but the linebacker did a great job forcing a tough decision and throwing angle. But, process and not results. Execution is something to work on, but any play call that gives your quarterback an easier read and throw in compressed space is a good play call. This is something the Bucs need a lot more of in the red zone this season and I hope it continues. So, why did Monken call plays? It’s a change I’ve been calling for for a while now, but now that we’ve seen it, I’m more convinced than ever that Monken should call the plays going forward. But it raises plenty of questions. If Dirk’s plan was to call plays this season, why let Monken have a shot? If he does it better than you, how can you go back? And if Monken is a better play caller Tampa Bay Buccaneers Hats , is it fair to ask what we’re even doing here? I’m not saying Monken should be the head coach or anything, far from it. But if Koetter is an average playcaller (his offenses have historically not scored points, only finishing in the top 10 in points per drive three times in the last eleven seasons and not since 2012) and average head coach (14-18 record), and your assistant does what you’re known for better than you...where do we go from here?DefenseTo be honest, I don’t think Mike Smith has changed his scheme up that much and I don’t think it was a good night for him or the defense. I still saw a lot of what we saw last year - McCoy being an unblockable beast, occasional flashes of a pass rush from others, problems with run fits, and a lot of what looked like soft quarters coverage. I can’t adequately describe how much I hate how far off they have the corners playing.Ryan Smith had a particularly rough night; he can’t start for this defense, and that makes the battle between Davis and Vernon Hargreaves one of the key ones to watch. The Bucs badly need Carlton Davis to lock down the other outside cornerback spot opposite Brent Grimes, who is 35, so Hargreaves can play the nickel/slot, where he’s much better suited. And if Davis does, was it because he’s legitimately starter quality, or because no one else on the roster is? I’ve seen a variation of the above crossing play be successful vs this defense so often in the last two years I’ve lost count. I didn’t really see much of what I was hoping to see in terms of improvement, and I don’t have great expectations for the defense this season. I think they’ll be better than last season, but they were the worst in the NFL last year. I’m not sold on Mike Smith being the answer to fix what’s wrong, but to be fair, at this point the secondary doesn’t seem to be there, whether it’s because of scheme, talent, or inexperience. Is Smitty playing his scheme because he thinks it works or because he doesn’t think he can run anything else with the talent he has? I don’t know. What I do know is your first team defense giving up over 10 ypa to David Fales is really, really bad.General Manager Jason Licht spent premium draft picks on physical corners Davis and M.J. Stewart. I wish we could see more of that physicality being displayed. Let Davis use his size; playing ten yards (ten yards!) off the line of scrimmage isn’t his game. And to be sure, Davis and Stewart had pretty good nights, and Davis had two pass breakups. This offense is much closer to being a finished product than the defense, and unlike the defense appears to be trending in the right direction, but we’ll look for week to week improvement in both squads as the preseason goes on. Antworten mit Zitat


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